Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 172.690008 198.706227 228.084883 263.869626 306.483115 355.854113 417.745380
2025-10-05 142.300517 177.112703 220.292662 278.413581 355.555163 455.785923 598.121730
2025-10-12 124.592438 164.023150 216.372340 292.273435 401.732984 557.412652 802.193162
2025-10-19 107.639071 147.807077 203.959333 290.201422 423.020446 626.288534 974.232886
2025-10-26 97.603047 139.042811 199.660996 297.680471 457.939710 720.481880 1207.769683
2025-11-02 88.567415 130.170107 193.434507 300.408661 484.783910 805.895367 1447.967856
2025-11-09 81.478390 123.152044 188.785326 304.398900 513.671093 899.834808 1729.554923
2025-11-16 74.910520 116.051826 182.890665 305.025404 536.164650 986.057024 2020.500637
2025-11-23 69.011339 109.302565 176.618646 303.803830 554.586377 1067.707471 2326.391253
2025-11-30 64.985023 105.194876 174.266113 309.208280 586.589575 1184.039761 2752.481020
2025-12-07 59.031882 97.153878 164.040291 298.123500 582.804595 1221.301539 2991.309552
2025-12-14 54.838696 91.792867 158.054375 294.470015 594.053676 1295.316957 3356.405470
2025-12-21 51.237205 87.479024 154.143827 295.792200 619.714555 1418.341556 3941.836824
2025-12-28 49.806058 87.038723 157.625662 313.374467 687.419381 1670.424469 5073.244553
2026-01-04 48.266744 86.205155 160.201698 329.437107 755.517127 1947.672068 6472.053611
2026-01-11 45.059363 81.799577 155.006962 327.063281 776.253798 2096.096330 7487.599343
2026-01-18 43.177081 79.809476 154.556578 335.682133 828.405670 2359.993559 9182.919056
2026-01-25 41.000124 77.000149 152.017917 338.827150 866.239549 2592.475622 10934.885873
2026-02-01 39.132272 74.642221 150.180440 343.428149 909.639537 2862.395247 13132.242707
2026-02-08 37.142172 71.838993 147.029753 344.150691 941.672235 3105.033247 15435.749801
2026-02-15 35.178942 68.916655 143.289694 342.741901 966.879425 3333.283510 17917.554428
2026-02-22 33.869630 67.296341 142.396360 348.975749 1019.070854 3697.539798 21790.473600
2026-03-01 31.505334 63.151936 135.100619 336.192968 1003.510578 3762.783753 23556.214074